Topic: UFC 301

UFC 301: Pantoja vs. Erceg

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01.16.2024 | 10:51 AM ET

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UFC 301
  • Saturday 05.04.2024 at 06:00 PM ET
  • U.S. Broadcast: Pay Per View | Prelims: ESPN
  • Promotion: Ultimate Fighting Championship
  • Ownership: Endeavor
  • Venue: Jeunesse Arena
  • Location: Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
  • Enclosure: Octagon
  • TV Announcers: Jon Anik, Paul Felder, Daniel Cormier
  • Ring Announcer: Bruce Buffer
  • Post-Fight Interviews: Daniel Cormier
  • Attendance: 14,514
  • MMA Bouts: 13
  • Promotion Links:
  • Event Links:
Bout   Info
Alexandre Pantoja   defeats   Steve Erceg   via Decision, Unanimous   5 Rounds, 25:00 Total Bout Page
José Aldo   defeats   Jonathan Martinez   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Anthony Smith   defeats   Vitor Petrino   via Submission, Guillotine Choke   2:00 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Michel Pereira   defeats   Ihor Potieria   via Submission, Standing Guillotine Choke   0:54 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Caio Borralho   defeats   Paul Craig   via KO/TKO, Left Cross   2:10 Round 2 of 3, 7:10 Total Bout Page
Joanderson Brito   defeats   Jack Shore   via KO/TKO, Doctor Stoppage (cut on Shin)   3:35 Round 2 of 3, 8:35 Total Bout Page
Iasmin Lucindo   defeats   Karolina Kowalkiewicz   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Myktybek Orolbai   defeats   Elves Brener   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Drakkar Klose   defeats   Joaquim Silva   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Mauricio Ruffy   defeats   Jamie Mullarkey   via KO/TKO, Flying Knee and Punches   4:42 Round 1 of 3 Bout Page
Dione Barbosa   defeats   Ernesta Kareckaite   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Ismael Bonfim   defeats   Vinc Pichel   via Decision, Unanimous   3 Rounds, 15:00 Total Bout Page
Alessandro Costa   defeats   Kevin Borjas   via KO/TKO, Punches From Back Mount   1:35 Round 2 of 3, 6:35 Total Bout Page

Responses Page 19

Herb Dean
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05.01.2024 | 3:33 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 575 Points   |   Tied for 3239th

Pantoja vs. Erceg
Steve Erceg, DEC
I see this as somewhere between 55/60% Pantoja so I’ll take the +170 dog …

Martinez vs. Aldo
Jonathan Martinez, DEC
Pickem

Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, DEC
Petrino 70% maybe 75%… but nah

Pereira vs. Potieria
Michel Pereira, DEC
Michel 70% if Ihor doenst quit on himself . He prob will but who knows . All things considered Michel 75%

Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, DEC
Caio 85%

Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, DEC
60% confident maybe just a bit more

Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo
Iasmin Lucindo, DEC
75% confident . She’s not even that good but the physical advantages are big

Brener vs. Orolbai
Myktybek Orolbai, DEC
Odds are wide . U can’t just assume he can wrestle fck Brenner

Silva vs. Gomis
William Gomis, DEC
Pickem . Might switch to Silva bc Brazil and judges like damage and agression

Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, DEC
55/60% maybe more like 55%

Barbosa vs. Kareckaite
Dione Barbosa, DEC
60%

Vandal
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05.01.2024 | 3:33 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 3662nd

Kowalkiewicz vs. Lucindo
Karolina Kowalkiewicz, DEC
I'll take the underdog

Vandal
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05.01.2024 | 3:37 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 3662nd

Barbosa vs. Kareckaite
Dione Barbosa, SUB, R1
Kareckaite is good just on the feet, armbar incoming

Vandal
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05.01.2024 | 3:41 AM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 3662nd

Martinez vs. Aldo
Jonathan Martinez, DEC
Great match up. Looking fw kicks from hell.

Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, DEC
Pls, Smith, save your brain cells

Pereira vs. Potieria
Michel Pereira, TKO, R1
It seems we have the best version of Pereira now

Craig vs. Borralho
Caio Borralho, DEC
Borralho all day, but who knows - Craig can always Ankalaev everyone

Brito vs. Shore
Joanderson Brito, SUB, R1
Looking fw fast finish, just don't like Brito's L to Allgeo

Brener vs. Orolbai
Myktybek Orolbai, DEC
Helluva scrap

Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, TKO, R2
Banger

Ruffy vs. Mullarkey
Mauricio Ruffy, TKO, R2
Sad but Jamie's chin is gone

Bonfim vs. Pichel
Ismael Bonfim, DEC
Scrap

Vandal
Vandal
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05.01.2024 | 3:46 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 3662nd

Switched Bonfim to Submission R2, Pichel is 60 years old
Vandal
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05.01.2024 | 5:53 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 545 Points   |   Tied for 3662nd

Erceg looks exactly like Stu from "Hangover". I want him to win 
Rah123
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05.01.2024 | 10:25 AM ET

Vandal

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 755 Points   |   Tied for 497th

He doesn't. 

And he won't. 

Sorry 😞 
andreypa
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05.01.2024 | 10:48 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 2251st

I am high on Brener!  He finished Guram who won split against Gamrot and loss split against Ismagulov. Than Brener comes in and finishes another guy who was 15-1 in Kanyan and does it in 1Rd. He is not going to play Medic there for sure and has a very high chance of winning this fight. Medic was not able to withstand Orolbai's wrestlng,otherwise he would have peaced this guy on foot. And Brenan will throw hard and fast. Orolbais Ko's are over some very bad competition. Like guys with 5 and 7 Ko losses (recent ones). I mean look yourself to all of them 5 wins he has before he won against Medic. Give me Brenan at least for ML value.
Latrel Dog
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05.01.2024 | 10:55 AM ET

Predictions: 12 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 790 Points   |   Tied for 217th

Didn't Guram have to weight cut 2 times in a short amount of time before fighting Brenner though ? 

Don't get me wrong, I think Brenner is a very good fighter, but I don't think he's gonna be able to defend all of Orolbai's takedown attempts. If he can, then that's his best chance. 
andreypa
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05.01.2024 | 11:12 AM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 640 Points   |   Tied for 2251st

Even though he might have that weight cut in a short time (I am not sure about it), I am still talking about Guram winning and loosing close fights to a very good competition. Just my opinion - and I have a feeling,that Brazilian gets this one done.
Mothswords
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05.01.2024 | 12:32 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 1913th

Jacob aka the freckled salamander from We Want Picks has Borjas as his underdog lock of the week. He's usually pretty good at picking underdogs but I can't trust these fighters from Peru 
Latrel Dog
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05.01.2024 | 1:33 PM ET

@andreypa

Predictions: 12 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 790 Points   |   Tied for 217th

I get your point, mate. I think the odds are way off on this one tbh. Brenner won't lose this without giving his all. 
Latrel Dog
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05.01.2024 | 1:36 PM ET

@mothswords

Predictions: 12 of 13 Winners, 5 Perfect, 790 Points   |   Tied for 217th

When they announced this fight, I was high on Costa, mainly because he had a very competitive fight against Erceg, but right now I don't think Borjas is a bad pick at all.

Yeah, his wrestling defense is sus (Van had success against him in this department), so Alessandro should take him down pretty easily... But if it stays on the feet, then I'm sure Borjas's chances are way more considerable. 
SANGRES
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05.01.2024 | 2:00 PM ET

Predictions: 8 of 13 Winners, 2 Perfect, 475 Points   |   Tied for 4537th

Looking forward to how the Brazilian crowd would react to Ihor lol
Rah123
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05.01.2024 | 2:01 PM ET

Latrel Dog

Predictions: 11 of 13 Winners, 6 Perfect, 755 Points   |   Tied for 497th

Except it won't stay on the feet
AyyLmaonnaise
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05.01.2024 | 2:10 PM ET

Predictions: 9 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 625 Points   |   Tied for 2464th

It’s going to stay on the feet, costa turned into a striker ever since getting denied a contract on dwcs for “fighting boring”. Ever since getting signed all he wants to do is stand & bang 
ApexOfAscension
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05.01.2024 | 2:43 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 4 of 11 Winners, 2 Perfect, 300 Points   |   Tied for 5531st

Pantoja vs. Erceg
Steve Erceg, TKO, R4
Pantoja is gonna gas out, then hes gonna throw wildly and shoot for take downs. Erceg will find ways to count him then BAM! A big counter right comes into play and knocks down pantoja, he isnt out tho, Pantoja gets up, dazed. He cant process whats going on until BAM BAM BAM! Erceg hits him with a right hook, uppercut to the body, and a left hook. Pantoja falls to the canvas, he looks up and see's Steve Carrell perform a diving strike. This bout ends with a tko win, making erceg, the new austialian flyweight of the world.

Martinez vs. Aldo
Jonathan Martinez, DEC
Fight of the night contender???

Smith vs. Petrino
Vitor Petrino, TKO, R1
Petrino is a beast, he will knock the teeth out of old man smith.

Pereira vs. Potieria
Ihor Potieria, DEC
I have a gut feeling that Potieria does the job by having better boxing and cutting the distance. God, please make your warrior win, please.

Craig vs. Borralho
Paul Craig, SUB, R1
Never buying on this dudes hype. Arguably lost against Abus and has pillow hands. Hope you lose this easy fight.

Brito vs. Shore
Jack Shore, DEC
Idk about yall, but im going with jack shore. Hes better at grappling, so i hope he gets it done. Please bro.

Brener vs. Orolbai
Elves Brener, TKO, R2
Please Elves brener knock this inbred out, please man. I legit stopped jerking off and became closer to God in order for all my fighters to win, and so far its going good, so God, please im begging you to make my fighters to win.

Silva vs. Gomis
William Gomis, DEC
Gomis, the boring french fighter is gonna edge this on a 30-28 typa scorecards. I want Jean to win, but gomis is really good at keeping his distence.

Silva vs. Klose
Drakkar Klose, TKO, R1
Netto Bjj looks like he can win, but hes chinny, lost to Glenn in 30 seconds, and struggled with clay guida. Hes gonna get chinned in this fight.

Ruffy vs. Mullarkey
Mauricio Ruffy, TKO, R1
Mullarkey gonna get his shi rocked cuz he will be unable to pull off a robbery.

Bonfim vs. Pichel
Ismael Bonfim, TKO, R1
This should be very obvious bro. If you pick Pichel, then you must have something wrong with your head. Pichel is coming of a 2 year layoff and this is not gonna be Ortega vs Rodreguiz were he's gonna choke Bonfim out. Hes just gonna get dominated.

Costa vs. Borjas
Alessandro Costa, TKO, R2
There is a very big difference between the power of these both. I feel that Borjas is faster but Creepy Costa is more stronger in striking wise and wresting. I just gonna go with Nono to tko Borjas.

Mothswords
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05.01.2024 | 5:29 PM ET

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 4 Perfect, 655 Points   |   Tied for 1913th

Watching Jean Silvas fight again on contender series. I would say he's just as patient as Gomis but when Silva commits he fully commits. I could see that being the difference in a close fight 
el_guapo
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05.01.2024 | 5:45 PM ET

Prediction Comments

Predictions: 10 of 13 Winners, 3 Perfect, 605 Points   |   Tied for 2720th

Pantoja vs. Erceg
Alexandre Pantoja, SUB, R5
I wouldn’t have a problem seeing Erceg win the title… really shake up the division; but Pantoja is a specialist and having 3 wins against Moreno and 2 against Royval is gonna make it really hard for me to pick against him.

Martinez vs. Aldo
Jonathan Martinez, DEC
Love Aldo, but there’s a good chance Rio is gonna start a riot

* Edited at 05.01.2024, 5:45 PM ET *

brito
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05.01.2024 | 6:19 PM ET

UFC 301 PREDICTIONS

Predictions: 12 of 13 Winners, 7 Perfect, 830 Points   |   Tied for 62nd



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